AUD/USD (Australian dollar/US dollar)

Global equities took a hit in US hours on Friday after President Donald Trump warned he would impose a “massive” increase of tariffs on Chinese goods. While Chinese markets will get their first chance to respond on Monday, any following of the US selloff may be tempered by weekend signals from the White House that it’s open to a deal and Trump declaring the US wanted to help, not hurt China.

Foreign Exchange, New York prices.

Japan’s currency has dropped around 2% against its G-10 peers so far this week, as investors wagered that Takaichi’s pro-stimulus stance would result in a slower timeline for the Bank of Japan’s policy tightening. Delayed hikes could well tempt traders back into a strategy known as the carry trade, where they borrow the low-yielding yen and buy currencies such as the Brazilian real or Australian dollar that offer higher returns. “The market is likely to conclude that the yen carry trade is back on” in the short term, said Jane Foley, head of foreign exchange strategy at Rabobank.

After three reductions since February, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) chose to keep the cash rate unchanged at 3.60% in today’s policy meeting, with the decision backed unanimously by the board.

December Australian dollar futures present a buying opportunity on more price strength.

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December Australian dollar futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.

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SYDNEY (Reuters) -Australian employment rose only marginally in June as the jobless rate jumped to the highest since late 2021, showing perhaps the first crack in what had been an unusually resilient labour market and adding to the case for a rate cut next month. Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics out on Thursday showed net employment rose 2,000 in June from May, when it fell by an upwardly revised 1,100. Most importantly, the jobless rate popped up to 4.3%, from 4.1%, the highest since November 2021 and a jolt after months of stable readings.

The hold at 3.85% was surprising and boosted AUD against major currencies including the US dollar and yen.

In a widely anticipated July policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) defied market expectations by opting to leave the cash rate unchanged at 3.85%, resisting calls for a third rate cut this year.

The U.S. dollar has been appreciating almost relentlessly since the end of September.

Investing.com-- Australia’s trade balance rose more than expected in October after hitting a four-year low in the prior month, as commodity exports rose amid improving economic conditions and stimulus measures in top trading partner China.

Investing.com-- Most Asian currencies moved little on Monday as traders digested middling cues from China on its plans for fiscal stimulus, while the yuan softened following weaker-than-expected inflation data.